Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.037066 0.043243 0.050042 0.058069 0.067275 0.077489 0.089667
2025-07-20 0.029280 0.037693 0.047802 0.060793 0.076992 0.096462 0.121573
2025-07-27 0.022439 0.031535 0.043347 0.059695 0.081603 0.109793 0.148638
2025-08-03 0.017883 0.027187 0.040133 0.059261 0.086553 0.123795 0.178093
2025-08-10 0.014179 0.023177 0.036516 0.057426 0.088992 0.134377 0.203930
2025-08-17 0.011516 0.020127 0.033655 0.056032 0.091572 0.145113 0.230873
2025-08-24 0.009755 0.018127 0.031991 0.056069 0.096091 0.158940 0.263618
2025-08-31 0.008099 0.015967 0.029675 0.054609 0.097879 0.168528 0.290572
2025-09-07 0.007352 0.015271 0.029695 0.057013 0.106220 0.189304 0.337380
2025-09-14 0.006403 0.014010 0.028493 0.057041 0.110378 0.203433 0.374389
2025-09-21 0.005430 0.012517 0.026614 0.055518 0.111492 0.212318 0.403088
2025-09-28 0.004719 0.011428 0.025336 0.054925 0.114175 0.224110 0.437846
2025-10-05 0.004432 0.011226 0.025850 0.058014 0.124382 0.250823 0.502665
2025-10-12 0.004083 0.010820 0.025877 0.060113 0.132891 0.275211 0.565503
2025-10-19 0.003511 0.009775 0.024357 0.058719 0.134134 0.285775 0.602999
2025-10-26 0.003079 0.008986 0.023283 0.058138 0.136971 0.299687 0.648231
2025-11-02 0.002631 0.008061 0.021740 0.056260 0.136760 0.307366 0.681618
2025-11-09 0.002274 0.007307 0.020480 0.054855 0.137392 0.316780 0.719297
2025-11-16 0.002036 0.006835 0.019852 0.054872 0.141238 0.333299 0.773179
2025-11-23 0.001765 0.006205 0.018707 0.053432 0.141482 0.341986 0.811021
2025-11-30 0.001677 0.006122 0.019021 0.055783 0.151094 0.372283 0.898493
2025-12-07 0.001512 0.005754 0.018484 0.055808 0.154976 0.389944 0.959326
2025-12-14 0.001317 0.005240 0.017442 0.054314 0.154849 0.398323 0.999842